Thursday, September 04, 2008

"Crossover" Looming, ACA Follow-up ... Gelabah Pak Lah Flew to KK?

Little bird called.

Pak Lah is said to have left for Kota Kinabalu today. The official reason is for a pre-planned buka puasa dinner at some hotel. Wonder what is it really all about? Off course, not it is not the crossover. Why should he be afraid? It won't happen, right?

Whats making him menggelabah? Its reported Anwar's been seriously busy meeting MPs.

An SMS came in tonight. It reads:
Follow-up to ACA report against Pak Lah by Mazlan Harun: Tomorrow 9 a.m. 4/9/2008 @ WIlayah ACA Office, Dataran Merdeka. Dtk Mazlan n Dtyk Kadar Shah will submit affidavitsfrom witnesses. Pls distribute.
This must be a follow-up to August 6th ACA report.

But PKR MP, Johari Abdul claimed they've got 40 MPs in the bag already.

Is that what his sudden trip to KK all about? Hmmm ... what offer will he try to up against Anwar now? Petroleum royalty?

Or will he do another lie like about Petronas building an Oil & Gas Processing Complex in Kimanis? One Sabah veteran politician said Pak Lah promised that in an afternoon function in KK but changed it for the dinner function from Kimanis back to Bintulu.

He was hoping no one noticed. Can you trust such a negotiator?

Liar liar pants on fire. Wonder whose pants is on fire?

No use Pak Lah. Its out of his hands. It time to cut a deal and quit. Forget about yourself. Resign with some dignity. At least, make an attempt to be seen to save UMNO with his resignation.

Is Anwar next PM?

Maybe not that liar also.

He is a student of Malay Studies, still having trouble figuring out his Arithmatics. Thats what Raja Petra said in his Mirror Malaysia Today. Read inside to know.

Is it Najib? I don't know yet but some Cabinet members are sending feelers through certain ... to tell him to take on Pak Lah.

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Harakahdaily Rabu 03 September 2008
(Diambil dari Malaysia Today)


Johari Abdul: Lebih 40 ahli Parlimen BN akan melompat

Oleh Zulkifli Mohamed

Bukan lagi jumlah minimun 30 tetapi lebih 40 ahli Parlimen Barisan Nasional (BN) akan melakukan hijrah politik dengan menyertai Pakatan Rakyat bagi membentuk kerajaan baru, yang berbaki 13 hari lagi menjelang 16 September depan.

Ketika mendedahkan perkara ini, Ahli Majlis Pimpinan Tertinggi keADILan (MPT) Johari Abdul berkata bilangan dan keyakinan Ahli Parlimen BN semakin meningkat selepas kemenangan Anwar Ibrahim pada pilihanraya kecil Permatang Pauh 26 Ogos lalu.

Katanya sejak kemenangan Anwar perbincangan dengan wakil rakyat BN bertambah rancak yang membayangkan mereka sudah hilang kepercayaan terhadap BN di bawah kepimpinan Abdullah Badawi.

Menurut Ahli Parlimen Sungai Petani itu, seperti dilapor Suara Keadilan, meskipun Bajet 2009 menyumbang peruntukan lebih besar kepada Sabah dan Sarawak, ahli-ahli parlimen berkenaan tidak termakan gula-gula politik tersebut, bahkan bertekad akan tetap bersama Pakatan Rakyat.

Tanpa memberi butiran mengenai identiti ahli parlimen yang bakal melompat, Johari berkata ia meliputi kebanyakan daripada 14 parti komponen BN yang sedia ada.

Sementara itu, Naib Presiden keADILan Azmin Ali berkata kemajuan proses perbincangan dengan ahli-ahli parlimen BN berkenaan cukup positif.

“Kita sedia maklum baru-baru ini ada memorandum Akujanji yang kononnya Ahli Parlimen Sabah dan Sarawak akan terus mendukung kepimpinan Abdullah Badawi, tetapi tidak semua yang menandatangani perjanjian tersebut,” katanya yang juga ahli Parlimen Gombak.

Perkara tersebut kata Azmin diakui oleh Timbalan Perdana Menteri Najib Tun Razak, walaupun memberi alasan kononnya mereka telah dihubungi melalui telefon.

“Tidak apalah, itu alasan mereka. Tetapi pokoknya perbincangan dengan Anwar Ibrahim berjalan lancar dan setakat ini tidak ada pertukaran tarikh tersebut,” ujarnya.

Tambahnya lagi, Pakatan Rakyat sedang menunggu waktu yang terbaik untuk mengumumkannya dan akan mengumumkan sekiranya tiba waktunya nanti.

Dalam perkembangan berkaitan Anwar dilaporkan telah menemui beberapa Ahli Parlimen dari Sabah, Sarawak dan juga Semenanjung beberapa hari yang lalu.

“Ya, saya ada menemui mereka beberapa hari lalu dan perkembangannya adalah sangat baik,” katanya.

Menurut Ahli Parlimen Permatang Pauh itu, Pakatan Rakyat masih berada dalam landasannya bagi membentuk kerajaan baru, walaupun desas desus mengatakan sasaran 16 September tidak akan berhasil memandangkan tarikh itu adalah pada bulan Ramadan dan Parlimen juga sedang bercuti.

“Sasarannya tetap sama. Kita juga hormati bulan Ramadan ini tapi jangan risau kerana Parlimen kita hanya berehat sekejap sahaja,” katanya.

“Kata orang dalam dunia politik ini, tempoh seminggu pun adalah sangat panjang dan macam-macam perkara boleh berlaku,” jelasnya.


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Extract from:

Malaysia Today September 2nd, 2008

It’s in the arithmetic, stupid

... Barisan Nasional has 140 seats in Parliament against Pakatan Rakyat’s 82 -- which is 31 for PKR, 28 for DAP and 23 for PAS. But that is for the whole country. In Peninsular Malaysia, Pakatan Rakyat has 80 seats against Barisan Nasional’s 86. Yes, that’s right. In Peninsular Malaysia, Barisan Nasional has only six seats more than Pakatan Rakyat. If just three Barisan Nasional Members of Parliament from Peninsular Malaysia cross over, Pakatan Rakyat would have 83 seats against Barisan Nasional’s 83.

The ‘main players’ in Barisan Nasional are Umno (79 seats), MCA (15 seats), MIC (3 seats) and Gerakan (2 seats). But 13 of Umno’s seats are in Sabah. Therefore, in Peninsular Malaysia, Umno has only 66 seats against MCA’s, MIC’s and Gerakan’s 20 (Total 86 for Barisan Nasional versus Pakatan Rakyat’s 80).

Sabah and Sarawak are definitely the Kingmakers. And the fact that, by law, 25% of the Parliament seats must come from Sabah and Sarawak means they shall always be the Kingmakers. And this is even more so now since, in Peninsular Malaysia, Barisan Nasional’s and Pakatan Rakyat’s seats are almost split 50:50. In fact, in Peninsular Malaysia, Pakatan Rakyat garnered more votes than Barisan Nasional (51% versus 49%). Only when you add the votes from Sabah and Sarawak are the percentages reversed.

The King of Kings would be PBB, Taib Mahmud’s party in Sarawak, which has 14 seats. This is followed by Umno in Sabah, which has 13 seats. SUPP and PRS, both in Sarawak, have six seats each. UPKO in Sabah and SPDP in Sarawak have four seats each -- followed by PBS in Sabah (3 seats), SAPP in Sabah (2 seats) and PBRS and LDP, both in Sabah, with one seat each.

The bottom line is, there are 56 Parliament seats in Sabah and Sarawak. Umno controls 13 and the opposition (DAP) two. The balance 41 are controlled by the component members of Barisan Nasional East Malaysia. If you regard the 13 Umno Sabah seats as ‘component member’ seats, then the total ‘hostile’ seats in East Malaysia (within Barisan Nasional) would be 54. Add the 20 from MCA, MIC and Gerakan, then Pakatan Rakyat would now have 74 seats to fish from.

And 30 seats are all Pakatan Rakyat needs. So 74 are plenty. And that is assuming the 66 Umno seats in Peninsular Malaysia remain with Barisan Nasional and do not cross over.

But there would be a problem if none of the 79 Umno Members of Parliament cross over. Pakatan Rakyat has 43 Malay Members of Parliament opposed to 39 non-Malays. That is okay because then Umno can’t say that the non-Malays control the opposition. But if 30 non-Malay Members of Parliament cross over to Pakatan Rakyat, and they get to form the new federal government, then it would be 69 non-Malays opposed to only 43 Malays.

Herein lies the problem and that is why there is a delay in Pakatan Rakyat forming the new federal government. Anwar Ibrahim does have his 30. In fact, it is more than 30. But Anwar has to be very careful in maintaining the ‘balance’. He can’t afford to form the new federal government with 69 or more non-Malay Members of Parliament and only 43 Malays. Umno would go to town with this and it will ‘prove’ what Umno has been saying these last many months: that the non-Malays have grabbed political power and the Malays have lost political power.

Yes, this is the song Umno has been singing since the 8 March 2008 general election. Malay political power had eroded, argues Umno. And once the 30 or more non-Malay Members of Parliament cross over and Pakatan Rakyat forms the new federal government, the Malays will lose political power. ...


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Resign and balik kampung ... Perth la ...

3 comments:

Ismail N said...

Yes, that's true. I'm from KK. They tried very hard to call everyone but the response wasn't so good. Some even said "Buat apa jumpa Pak Lah...kalau Dr M tu bagus jugak".

drMpower said...

okay. we got anwar on one hand and umno's future in the other. anwar will sell anything for him to be made PM.

umno future pretty much depends on the restructuring and rebranding aspects, which can only take off with abdullah going.

but hes not going.

solution?

mahathir mohamad.

pressure abdullah to cut a deal and go. bring mahathir back to court people. 23 years of services, is not a lame, unextraordinary.

a lot of people will still listen to him. not only because of those years, but he talk with brain, understand the situation, and see the future.

by getting mahathir on board, i believe rebranding and restructuring will kick start. of course at the call of the new PM. no, not i am saying mahathir to return as PM and YDP, but sort of Adviser. The EYE that see.

EYE will see anything uncommon happening inside UMNO and Malaysia.

and also with his wisdows and brain, he will be able to stop Anwar, even though its only temporary stop. anwar will try again. thats for sure.

while anwar regroup, we still got malaysia and UMNO will continue to be reform and reborn.

but act fast, that man has no great length to live on. hes already 80 something.

anonemo said...

Kalau dah nak cari salah orang, semua benda yang dibuat pun akan dilihat dari sudut negatif...

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