Friday, February 22, 2019

Even a 1,000 vote majority win is bad result for PPBM

At the GE 14 in May last year, the late Mohd Bakhtiar Mohd Nor won the Semenyih state assembly seat by a majority of 8,954 votes to the incumbent from UMNO, Datuk Johan Abdul Aziz.

With that wide a majority, PPBM candidate and son-in-law of Bakhtiar, Muhammad Aiman Bin Zainali not only cannot lose but the margin in victory is equally important.

Johan received 14,464 votes, which decreased from 17,616 votes for GE13 in 2013 and increase from 11,588 votes for GE12 in 2008. However, it was not enough to stop the anti-Najib wave that gave Bakhtiar 23,428 votes to win the seat.

The number of voters for Semenyih increased from 28,203 votes for GE12 to 53,257 votes for GE14. Still pretty much a Malay majority area with 25 to 30% Chinese.

If the votes received by UMNO and PAS at GE 14 were added together and PPBM maintain the same performance, the young PPBM candidate should win by a majority of 1,998 votes.

More so there is a high percentage of new and young voters. This was the reason Lim Guan Eng was forced, but reluctantly, to announce BR1M or rebranded as BSH for unmarried youth.

Any less or loss spells disaster for PPBM.

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

BR1M/BSH: Is DAP sabotaging PPBM campaign?

Few days ago, it was heard from sources involved in PPBM campaign that Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin is not happy with the BR1M announced by Lim Guan Eng for unmarried youth.

Oppss... Sorry, its rebranded as Bantuan Sara Hidup to justify their promise to abolish BR1M and cleanse it of the element of bribery. Preesumably, the new form but same substance is Halal and no more smeared by political populism.

Muhyiddin said they will appeal to Minister of Finance to increase the amount. It only indicate the announcement does not help their campaign.

This is important for PPBM campaign to attract young voters in Semenyih. If so, PPBM's Minister of Education should announce abolishing PTPTN as promised in PH's GE14 Manifesto.

Monday, February 18, 2019

Time to know the truth about Tabung Haji too

It is most welcoming that finally state their position on Tabung Haji (TH) with this piece entitled "Tiba masanya kita tahu hakikat Tabung Haji" (It's time we know the truth of Tabung Haji).

It is written by an unknown Admin and not as melancholic as their earlier piece and also another one to stop politicising, "Cukup-cukuplak jadikan TH bahan politik", both by 24-year economic writer Mowardi Mahmud.

Is Mujahid the politician arguing like Mowardi, the economic writer or Mowardi arguing like Mujahid? 

Though agreeable and it's the intention to be specific and technical, Mowardi's argument to seek for evidence is inconsistent.

Sunday, February 17, 2019

Trump giving Mahathir ideas ....

Dow Jones Industrial Index closed 340 points up on Friday. It is up for the week from last Friday's 25,042 points Monday to close the week at 25,883 points.

Investor's Business Daily attributed the rise due to optimism over US-China Trade talk, but Market Watch brief reported described "negotiators remained deadlocked over key issues" to end the talk in Beijing. It will resume next week in Washington.

Such significant rise could not have been triggered by economics or business events, as economist and analyst keep a close watch and constantly update their analysis and forecast with new announced data. Strong version of market efficient would have built-in the market prices with any probable events to come.

Yesterday's significant rise could only have come from a political event, and something not within expectation. Market Watch reported:
"U.S. political tensions were swinging back into focus for investors. Trump declared a national emergency to secure additional funding for the wall on the southern border, potentially setting him up for a showdown with Congress." 
If DJIA received well US President Donald Trump move to by-pass Congress to get the money needed to "build the wall!", then it is giving the old gerontocrasy leader, Mahathir ideas.

Thursday, February 14, 2019

IGP trip, PH quarrel erupt, and GLC purge to come

The Istanbul trip by IGP, Tan Sri Fuzi Harun was exposed by Sarawak Report to be an office holiday trip, but it was a working visit arranged by National Totalisator Board (NTB) on matters regarding online illegal gambling.

As soon as the story broke out, unqualified Accountant and failed Economist Lim Guan Eng sprang into defensive mode. Whether he is telling the truth or usually lying, he told MMO that Treasury did not pay for it and claimed Ananda Krishnan's number forecasting Da Ma Cai operation paid the trip.

What he is saying is Treasury refused to pay for the trip and he requested NTB to arrange Da Ma Cai to sponsor. Sabahkini2 has similar view. As one owner of a gambling license said, a Minister's request is as good as an order and they will have to secede.

Dato Dr Asyraff Wajidi was angered by Guan Eng's insensitivity. However, there is political implication behind the facade of a typical Guan Eng's lack of familiarity with proper administrative practise.

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Federal Court ruling, Vexatious litigation for TH and

The day new management of Tabung Haji (TH) made police reports against previous management puzzled many corporate watcher and market players.

Usually before such actions, there would be internal enquiries, right to reply, and various due process within the organisation to ascertain anything tantamount to a crime.

The new management of TH came in and vavoom came swiftly the series of police reports.

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

BossKu to IjazahKu: Shooting the Messenger to Diverting the Message

Dato' Wong Chun Wai's column is seldom filled with rhetorics and cliche that reading the headline is sufficient to figure out what and with whom he is trying to curry flavour.

These days he has swayed with the wind as The Star pander to its DAP supporters-readers to get their sales.

His column today is quite humourous. It is probably his way to ride the wave of public uproar over Ministers lying on their diploma and evade the serious issue by spinning with a Najib facade.

Heck! That was the punished Old Malaysia, but why New Malaysia compromised on integrity and making all sort of silly excuses?

While yesterday was "shooting the messenger" exercise in public relation, today is diverting the message and toning the BossKu momentum.

Before going any further, there have been new exposes of Dato Mahfudz Omar, and Sabahan Deputy Chief Minister, Datuk Jaujan Sambakong. Not sufficient attention given to Tourism Minister, Dato Mohamaddin Ketapi whose actions do not reflect that of a law graduate.

Dato Paduka Mukhriz Mahathir's Wikipedia profile showed him with two similar degree from Sophia University (1982) and Boston University (1987). But he was still doing his Form 5 in MRSM Pengkalen Chepa in 1981!

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